July 1, 2026: On July 1, 2026 at 1 p.m. EST, join the Prison Policy Initiative and guests Jodi Hocking, Executive Director of Return Strong Nevada, and Taj Mahon-Haft PhD, Director of The Humanization Project, as they discuss the importance of family connections, highlight the ways they are under attack, and share strategies to help families fight back.
July 9, 2026: Join the Prison Policy Initiative, Latino Justice, and the MacArthur Justice Center for a powerful webinar focused on the parole board process and the case for the presumption of release. It will begin with a firsthand account from Frank Silva and his interview for freedom followed by Clinical Professor of Law Heidi Rummel and the legality of “presumption of release,” and how California’s framework has shifted the
burden of proof.
A new study analyzing a national survey of youth in custody reveals stark disparities in rates of staff physical assault among Black and neurodivergent youth.
Even though the rate of youth incarceration is more than three times lower than it was twenty years ago, youth of color and youth with disabilities are still overrepresented in custody — and these disparities are getting worse.1
These children were already among the most vulnerable to involvement in the juvenile legal system, but as the system decarcerates, their vulnerability is compounded by the fact that they are also among the most likely to suffer abuse while confined, including being violently victimized by adults.
New research underscores the extent to which staff violence against incarcerated neurodivergent youth of color is substantially worse than it is for white neurotypical youth.2 Brianna Suslovic and her colleagues at the University of Chicago Crown Family School of Social Work, Policy, and Practice, identified significant disparities in the likelihood of staff physical assault between confined youth of different racial identities, and between neurodivergent and neurotypical incarcerated youth. They found that the odds of Black youth reporting staff physical assault are 79% higher than the odds of white youth reporting assault, and the odds of neurodivergent youth reporting staff assault are 59% higher than the odds of neurotypical youth reporting assault. Even more alarmingly, for neurodivergent youth of color, the odds of reporting staff physical assault are more than twice the odds of their white, neurotypical peers.
These findings, forthcoming in the Journal of the Society for Social Work and Research, are based on data collected by the federal government in the 2018 National Survey of Youth in Custody. Suslovic and her co-authors have made a useful contribution to existing research because they use self-reported data to examine how structural forces and marginalization — in this case, racism and ableism — shape experiences of youth confinement. The evidence they present underscores the need to keep those at the highest risk of abuse at the forefront of decarceration efforts, and to ensure they don’t enter youth jails and prisons in the first place.
Methodology
The underlying data in the study are from the 2018 National Survey of Youth in Custody, a nationally representative survey of 6,910 youth in 332 publicly- and privately-operated facilities that house adjudicated3 youth across the country.4 The survey is intended to gather data on the incidence and prevalence of sexual assault in juvenile facilities under the Prison Rape Elimination Act of 2003 (PREA). Data are self-reported by youth participants, and the survey collects information on the racial identity, gender identity, age, sexual orientation, and diagnoses of several mental health and developmental disorders.
The researchers used survey data to identify respondents who reported any diagnosis by a doctor, counselor, or other professional of ADD/ADHD, dyslexia, a learning disability, Autism, or Asperger’s Syndrome, which the researchers used to categorize participants as “neurodivergent.”5 Suslovic and her colleagues estimated the prevalence of staff physical assault of neurodivergent and neurotypical — or non-neurodivergent — youth across racial categories based on the response to the survey question that asked youth to report if they had ever been “kicked, punched, hit, and otherwise physically assaulted” by facility staff. Given the limited information on physical assault by facility staff in juvenile facilities,6 the researchers rely on youth reporting assault as a proxy for the frequency of assaults in youth confinement. This requires an assumption that the likelihood of confidentially reporting an assault is generally consistent across demographic categories in the survey. The researchers also controlled for a number of variables that may be associated with increased risk of victimization including history of prior physical abuse, assignment of a caseworker or social worker, age, education level, gender identity, and sexual orientation.7
There are some inherent limitations to this study. First, the National Survey of Youth in Custody relies on self-reported data, which is susceptible to over- and under-reporting, but is generally found to provide accurate estimates.8 Second, the researchers’ definition of “neurodivergence” may differ from other definitions, as there is no general consensus in the literature about the specific diagnoses and conditions of neurodivergence. Third, the racial, ethnic, and gender identities of youth were limited to the categories presented in the administered survey, which therefore limits responses to a set number of possibilities of identity categories for race, ethnicity, and gender.9
Confined youth of color and neurodivergent youth disproportionately experience violence at the hands of facility staff
The study finds that children of color and neurodivergent children are disproportionately confined in juvenile facilities, and that neurodivergent children of color in particular are more likely to report being physically assaulted by staff than white, neurotypical children.
Among white, Black, and Hispanic confined youth, those identified as neurodivergent — meaning they’ve ever been diagnosed with ADD/ADHD, dyslexia, a learning disability, Autism or Asperger’s Syndrome — are more likely to have been physically assaulted by staff, based on self-reporting in the 2018 National Survey of Youth in Custody. Source: Suslovic, B., Shankar, S., & Gottlieb, A. (2025). Race/Ethnicity, Neurodivergence, and Odds of Staff Physical Assault in Youth Carceral Settings. Journal of the Society for Social Work and Research. https://doi.org/10.1086/734616.
Overall, more than 1 in 10 incarcerated youth report being assaulted by staff. However, among neurodivergent confined youth, a greater proportion (15%) reported being assaulted by staff. In fact, the odds of neurodivergent youth reporting violent victimization by staff were 59% higher than the odds of their neurotypical peers. In the analysis across race, the researchers found that Black youth have odds of reporting staff physical assault that are 79% higher than white youth, with almost 1 in every 6 Black youth reporting assault, compared to 1 in 9 white youth.
The researchers also found that across almost all racial categories, staff physical assault is more prevalent among neurodivergent youth.10Neurodivergent youth of color experience a distressing 120% higher odds of reporting being assaulted by staff than their white, neurotypical peers. This is particularly alarming, as it indicates the extent to which the children most vulnerable to involvement in the juvenile system are made additionally vulnerable to violence at the hands of adults in power.
Despite great strides in youth decarceration, longstanding disparities in confinement are getting worse
The great strides made in youth decarceration over the past twenty years have not been evenly distributed. People of color and those with disabilities, who have often been primary targets for surveillance, policing, and incarceration,11 still represent a greater portion of the dwindling confined youth population than their white and neurotypical peers. In fact, their overrepresentation in the system is growing, and they continue to face the very kinds of abuses that have motivated decarceration of youth jails and prisons in the first place.
The conditions in youth jails and prisons — which can include solitary confinement, physical abuse, sexual abuse, a lack of programming and services, and excessive use of force — make juvenile confinement particularly dangerous for youth with disabilities, and can exacerbate mental and behavioral health concerns.12 Overall, confined youth face exceptional risk of victimization by facility staff: systemic maltreatment — including physical abuse and excessive use of force by staff — has been reported in juvenile facilities in 29 states since 2000, and a 2010 survey found 22% of confined youth reported that they were afraid that a staff member will physically attack them.13
The data from this newest study support these concerning trends, further quantifying the overrepresentation of youth of color and neurodivergent youth in confinement, and characterizing their mistreatment in a shrinking system.
Youth with disabilities are disproportionately locked up
More than two-thirds of confined youth met the study’s criteria for neurodivergence, which the researchers defined as any diagnosis by a doctor, counselor, or other professional of ADD/ADHD, dyslexia, a learning disability, Autism, or Asperger’s Syndrome. The prevalence of many of these diagnoses is much higher among children in custody than in the national youth population:14
In addition, more than half (55%) of neurodivergent confined youth were Black, Hispanic, American Indian or Alaska Native, Asian, or Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander.
While youth with disabilities represent 17% of national K-12 enrollment, they represent almost one quarter (24%) of confined youth.15 Children with disabilities face some of the highest rates of arrest in schools, in part because police are often called to respond to youth who have challenges with processing emotions and information, communication, and disability-related behaviors. Youth of color with disabilities are arrested at even higher rates in schools, with Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander boys and Black boys with disabilities facing rates four to six times the average arrest rate.16
Racial disparities are increasing in youth confinement
Racial disparities have long been a feature of youth incarceration, and they’re only getting worse. In 2003, Black youth accounted for 38% of youth detained or committed, and in 2023, this increased to over 46%. In addition, youth of more than one race accounted for only 1% of confined youth in 2006 (the first year juvenile data included that race category), and that proportion has more than doubled as of 2023.
Some of these disparities can be traced back to differences in the policing of kids of different races and ethnicities. As is the case with Black adults, Black children are particularly targeted with overcharging and harsher treatment, making them far more likely to be incarcerated than white children. Black children, and especially Black girls, are also subject to an added burden of adultification: when a child is perceived as older, more culpable, and more responsible than their peers. Similar to the racist “super predator” myth that was used to rationalize harsh punishments in the 1990s by portraying Black youth as more violent and unruly than their white peers, adultification leads to harsher consequences within the juvenile legal system.
Conclusion
The findings from Brianna Suslovic and her colleagues represent important contributions to the existing research, highlighting how some of the most vulnerable children are funneled into the juvenile legal system, where they face a number of dangers, including physical assault by staff.
Violent victimization is the product of several factors in youth confinement. Almost one-third of the study sample reported physical abuse by an adult prior to confinement, and we know that prior victimization is a strong indicator of subsequent victimization while in custody. Research also shows that the quality of relationships with facility staff can influence the likelihood of victimization — and other positive and negative outcomes for incarcerated youth and adults — and the vast majority (89%) of confined youth reported that they were assigned a case manager or counselor. Educational access and engagement have been identified as protective factors against maltreatment for children as well. Despite evidence that people who achieve higher levels of education while incarcerated are more likely to experience positive outcomes after release, less than one-third of confined youth have completed high school, even though more than 60% of confined youth are over 17 years old.17 Many of the same factors that make children more vulnerable to criminal legal system involvement also make them more vulnerable to suffering abuse while confined, and this study calls particular attention to some of the youth most disproportionately at risk of violent victimization by adults.
While the number of confined youth has been declining for years, the confined population still reflects the racist and ableist trends of the nation’s criminal legal system: children with histories of abuse, lower education levels, learning disabilities, cognitive disorders, disabilities, and children of color are disproportionately locked up. Those are the children who remain in juvenile facilities where they are at heightened risk of physical assault at the hands of the people charged with their safety and wellbeing. Given the pronounced failure of youth incarceration to significantly reduce “delinquent” behaviors and the dangers they experience behind bars, the findings from this recent study signal a need to reevaluate our nation’s use of incarceration for children.
As explained in detail in the Methodology section of this briefing, the study authors define “neurodivergent” as any diagnosis by a doctor, counselor, or other professional of ADD/ADHD, dyslexia, a learning disability, Autism, or Asperger’s Syndrome. “Neurotypical” youth are youth who report no history of any of those diagnoses. The study authors also analyzed the findings by race and ethnicity: white, Black, Hispanic, other races (including Asian American and Indigenous), and two or more races. For some findings, they report the differences between white youth and youth of color (defined as all non-white race and ethnicity categories). ↩
Because this survey focuses on facilities holding adjudicated youth (or youth whom the juvenile court has determined have committed the act with which they are charged) it does not necessarily reflect the experience of youth awaiting adjudication, such as those in pretrial juvenile detention. ↩
The researchers were only able to use the survey results from 5,718 youth (83%) that responded to the necessary questions for their analysis. ↩
Prior to the administration of the National Survey of Youth in Custody, the newest iteration of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual, the DSM-5, was published in 2013. The DSM-5 is the main guide for mental health and brain-related conditions and disorders. In that iteration of the reference book, “Autism” and “Asperger’s Syndrome” were consolidated into “Autism spectrum disorder” to encompass the wide range of symptoms and the severity of those symptoms. ↩
Unlike the reports about sexual victimization of youth in confinement that come from the same dataset (the National Survey of Youth in Custody) there are no reports from the Bureau of Justice Statistics reporting on the prevalence of substantiated vs. reported incidents of physical assault by staff. ↩
Sexual and gender minority youth are at elevated risk for staff sexual victimization while in custody, although there is little evidence regarding the prevalence of staff physical assault across any demographic. ↩
The survey may not capture all trans or gender nonconforming youth, as they may have identified as “male” or “female,” leaving the researchers no ability to delineate cisgender and transgender youth. ↩
Rates of reporting staff physical assault are higher among neurotypical youth for only one racial category: youth of more than one race. ↩
While the study included diagnoses of dyslexia in the definition of neurodivergent, there is little consensus on the national prevalence of dyslexia to compare the findings to outside of the confinement setting. ↩
The 2021-22 Civil Rights Data Collection from the U.S. Department of Education defines disability based on the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act (IDEA), and includes autism, hearing and visual impairments, intellectual disability, severe orthopedic impairment, specific learning disabilities, speech or language impairment, and traumatic brain injuries.
This estimate of 24% is likely an underestimate of the actual proportion of confined children with disabilities: somesourcesreport that up to 70% of confined youth have disabilities (the definitions of disabilities frequently vary between studies). ↩
While Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander and Black girls face the highest arrest rates among girls with disabilities, arrest rates across all races are highest for boys and nearly 85% of confined youth are boys. ↩
With every sheriff’s office, department of corrections, district attorney, and police department armed with its own media relations team, the news cycle is all too often stacked toward the status quo when it comes to criminal legal system issues. How can advocates for system reform have their voices amplified — and their priority issues covered — without overworking themselves to get the media’s attention? And how can advocates frame issues in ways that resonate with journalists?
On September 18th, the Prison Policy Initiative and the Center for Just Journalism hosted a webinar to help advocacy organizations home their media strategies and get attention on critical issues. Panelists Wanda Bertram of the Prison Policy Initiative and Hannah Riley of the Center for Just Journalism provided guidance on how small organizations can make the most of their limited resources and staff capacity. They covered:
The lay of the contemporary news media landscape and basic tips for interacting with journalists;
The strategic benefits of building relationships with reporters, and how advocates should select reporters to reach out to;
How to have informal conversations with the media that can influence the news cycle, as well as write formal pitches that can lead to news clippings.
One out of every three people behind bars is being held in a local jail, yet the 3,000+ sheriffs that control them operate with little to no oversight — and the consequences are deadly. Hundreds of people, many of whom are held pretrial and have not been convicted of a crime, die each year in local jails from suicide, overdoses, violence, and neglect.
Safety Bound, an organization that works to reimagine the role of sheriffs, has created a policy platform with seven demands that advocates can use to curb the unchecked power of sheriffs, reduce jail populations, and improve conditions inside these facilities. We helped to support this effort by providing insights and research on the health harms of incarceration and ways communities can avoid costly and ineffective jail construction projects.
The seven demands are listed below, and are explained in more depth on Safety Bound’s website.
Towards Accountability — Sheriffs should improve jail operations and conditions to prevent injuries and deaths.
People in jails have high rates of mental illness, chronic health conditions, and substance use, which jails are not equipped to provide care for.
Towards Freedom — Sheriffs should reduce jail populations and oppose jail expansions
Investing in jail construction is not a solution to social problems but rather doubles down on old policies that caused these problems to begin with.
Towards Immigrant Justice — Sheriffs should end all voluntary cooperation with any and all immigration enforcement.
Local jails play an important role in enabling federal agencies like ICE and the U.S. Marshals to detain people for immigration reasons.
Traffic stops are not only the most common type of police-initiated contact, but are common sites of police violence, impacting Black drivers more than any other racial group.
Towards Health — Sheriffs should advocate for alternative emergency response for mental health and substance use crises.
Despite how sheriffs repackage incarceration as care to justify jail expansion or budget increases, jails are not a substitute for treatment. A better solution is community-based support systems that address challenges before they become crises that result in incarceration.
Towards Democracy — Sheriffs should not take campaign donations from jail contractors.
Nationwide, sheriffs have received countless dollars in campaign donations from security and investigative companies, construction firms, medical services providers, telecom and tech companies, bail bonding companies, and even apparel and uniform manufacturers.
Towards Election Integrity — Sheriffs should act to protect election officials and voters from threats and violence that undermine the right to vote.
Elected officials, particularly at the local and state level, significantly shape the criminal legal system and elections are an important tool in the fight against mass incarceration.
The organization is also hosting a webinar on Thursday, August 14th, to explore each demand in depth. The organization’s partners — including our Policy & Advocacy team — will discuss how we can build a movement rooted in care and accountability.
Last month, President Trump signed an executive order aimed at forcibly locking unhoused people experiencing mental health crises or substance use disorder in involuntary commitment in state psychiatric hospitals.1 Here’s the issue with that measure: it is nothing more than an attempt to disguise criminalization as care.
The order directs the federal government to find ways to encourage and empower states to force unhoused people experiencing mental health or substance use issues into involuntary commitment facilities.
These state psychiatric hospitals aren’t typically run by departments of correction, but they are in reality much like prisons. At least 38 states also allow involuntary commitment for substance use disorder treatment, and evidence suggests that these supposed “treatment facilities” are not effective. Notably, it can be extremely difficult for these “forensic patients” to be released as they may remain hospitalized for decades or for life.
Involuntary commitment is not only legally and ethically dubious, but it also fails to deliver on the very objectives that justified its creation.
Contradicting cuts
Notably, in the first five months of his second term, Trump has gutted social programs that have been proven to reduce crime and keep people off the street.
First, the administration slashed $11 billion from addiction and mental health programs, a move that will lead to increasing prison and jail populations. Then, it targeted Housing First programs, a method that has been proven effective at getting and keeping people off the street, by giving them access to housing without conditions. And, last month, Trump’s “big, beautiful bill” came with an ugly reality: Steep cuts to Medicaid that will leave 10 million people uninsured, making it nearly impossible for them to access mental health care or substance abuse treatment.
With the safety net shredded, what will happen to the people who desperately need care? In many cases, they’ll be put straight into actual prisons and jails, which are never appropriate places for treatment.
Prisons and jails are often viewed as de facto mental health and substance abuse treatment providers, but the reality couldn’t be further from the truth. Rates of mental illness are exceptionally high among incarcerated people, and these facilities fail to meet the demand for help. More than half of the people in state prison reported having a mental health problem, yet only 26% received professional help since entering prison.
Based on 2019 data from the National Survey of Drug Use and Health (NSDUH) from SAMHSA, approximately 8% of people over the age of 12 met the criteria for a substance use disorder, and 41% of people who had been arrested in the last year met the criteria for a substance use disorder. In 2016 (the most recent year for which the Bureau of Justice Statistics published national prison data), 47% of people in state and federal prisons met the criteria for a substance use disorder in the 12 months prior to their most recent prison admission.
Not only are prisons and jails unable to treat mental health problems, but they can also create them. Incarceration itself is traumatizing and can inflict serious mental damage on people. Violence behind bars is inescapable and can result in post-traumatic stress symptoms, like anxiety, depression, avoidance, hypersensitivity, hypervigilance, suicidality, flashbacks, and difficulty with emotional regulation.
Prisons and jails are not treatment centers for substance use disorders, either. In fact, these facilities punish drug use far more than they treat it. People who have been arrested or incarcerated have higher rates of substance use disorder than the general population. And, disturbingly, only 1 in 10 people in state prisons with substance use disorders received treatment.
Jails, which tend to have even fewer resources, are also not suited to offer care. The most effective treatment options are the least accessible for people with opioid use disorder: Just 19% of jails initiate medication-assisted treatment for people with opioid use disorder.
Behind bars, people don’t have access to the care they need – and upon release, they’re often left worse off than before incarceration. Formerly incarcerated people are almost 10 times more likely to be homeless than the general public. And, being homeless makes formerly incarcerated people more likely to be arrested and incarcerated again, creating a revolving door.
Attacks on people experiencing homelessness
The reality is that there is an inextricable link between housing, mental illness, drug use, and criminalization. Yes, people experiencing these vulnerable situations often need care — but forcibly hospitalizing them is not the solution.
Instead, the U.S. must embrace Housing First. This method offers housing with no strings attached. It recognizes housing as the first step in responding to homelessness, rather than something to work toward. It also does more than simply put a roof over people’s heads; it gives people the space and stability necessary to receive care, escape crises, and improve their quality of life. Research shows that this approach keeps people housed and improves attitudes and outlook on life.
Conclusion
In the last year, there have been rampant attacks on people experiencing homelessness – and this executive order is the latest example. It’s a bad move that will result in far more people locked up simply because they’re experiencing homelessness, mental health crises, or substance use issues. Gutting proven solutions that make communities safer — like community-based care, Housing First, and harm-reduction efforts — seems to be a pattern with the administration.
The good news is that state and local governments don’t have to help this misguided effort. The federal government will certainly dangle funding to entice them to implement these policies, but they have the ability to say no. If the money comes with these types of strings attached, it isn’t worth the cost.
Footnotes
Pres. Trump’s executive order uses the term “civil commitment.” However, for many the term “civil commitment” refers to the involuntary commitment of people convicted of sex-related crimes after completing their prison sentences. For clarity, in this piece we will be using the term “involuntary commitment” to refer to the President’s proposed actions. ↩
The new report explains how the Trump administration is using a longstanding loophole to circumvent sanctuary policies and obscure the full scale of its immigration actions.
July 30, 2025
This morning, the Prison Policy Initiative released Hiding in Plain Sight, a report revealing the crucial role that locally-run jails are playing in President Trump’s program of mass deportation — and why states and counties must do more to end cooperation. Building on the organization’s work explaining how county jails enable state and federal incarceration, this report breaks down the complicated overlap between local criminal justice and immigration, and offers detailed data tables showing the level of involvement in every state and in specific jails.
Key findings include:
The Trump administration is circumventing city and county sanctuary policies that limit cooperation with federal immigration authorities. It accomplishes this through a longstanding loophole: ICE and other federal agencies can refer people for federal prosecution on immigration-related “crimes” and thus use local jails’ contracts with the U.S. Marshals Service in sanctuary cities, counties, and states. In doing so, the Trump administration is transforming what are normally civil immigration matters into more serious federal crimes.
ICE data doesn’t show the full scale of immigrant detention in the U.S. While ICE detention data recorded 57,200 people on average in June 2025, the true count of people detained shows the overall crimmigration system is 45% larger, at around 83,400 people. That’s because ICE data does not account for people facing criminal immigration charges (as explained above), nor does it account for people held on ICE detainers, in some state detention facilities, or in overnight hold rooms.
Jails and police departments play a key role in criminalizing immigration by detaining people until ICE agents can make an arrest. ICE has capitalized on local detention of immigrants — often on minor charges or charges that would not lead to jail time for U.S. citizens (such as driving without a license) — to not only make more arrests, but to enhance the appearance of targeting “criminals.” Arrests in jails comprise 45% of ICE arrests since Trump’s inauguration in January.
“Many cities and states have tried to offer sanctuary for immigrants by refusing to rent jail space to ICE and opting out of the 287(g) program, but it is not enough,” said report author Jacob Kang-Brown. “The Trump administration is leveraging jails at a new scale, using local contracts with the U.S. Marshals Service and existing policing practices in order to expand detention.”
For reporters who want to dig deeper into these trends in their own counties and states, the report includes data tables showing:
How many people are being held for ICE and the U.S. Marshals in over 600 local jails (and over 150 other facilities), the change in these populations from January to April 2025, and the share of all detained immigrants in every state being held by jails.
The rate of ICE arrests happening in jails, compared to other locations, in every state.
The number of immigrants arrested by the U.S. Marshals on various charge types over time — showing that a quickly-growing share of these people are being booked on charges related to their immigration status.
The per-diem payments by the U.S. Marshals to hundreds of local jails in exchange for housing immigrants and other federal pretrial detainees.
The report concludes by urging counties to end all of their collaborations with federal immigration detention agencies, including the U.S. Marshals Service, which has contracts with nearly 1,000 jails nationwide. Via their jails, local governments are — intentionally or not — providing the infrastructure for a massive attack on immigrants. But by resisting cooperation with President Trump’s racist deportation machine, counties and states also have the power to contain it.
Parole systems in America are failing. They’re inaccessible, they’re hard to navigate, they grant parole for far too few people, and those who are paroled are often set up to fail.
It doesn’t have to be this way.
Prison Policy Initiative has partnered with the MacArthur Justice Center’s National Parole Transformation Project to produce Principles for Parole Reform. This document features 16 guiding principles for advocates to consider when pushing for parole reform in their jurisdictions. Drawing from our own extensive research and advocacy experience, and created with guidance from advocacy organizations across the country, this document reflects dozens of conversations with those most impacted by unjust parole policies: currently and formerly incarcerated people and their families.
The principles cover key areas of parole such as access and eligibility, preparation and process, criteria considerations, parole board composition, revocation hearings, and more. Each principle includes an explanation of why these reforms are necessary, as well as concrete examples of common-sense policies that advocates can draw from when working to implement change.
The problems with parole
Discretionary parole allows states to periodically review incarcerated people’s circumstances with the goal of releasing people who can safely return to their communities. Parole is a vital tool for decarceration, but in its current form, it usually does not achieve its goals.
At its core, discretionary parole is a recognition of the fundamental humanity of those in prison: a promise that, in our society, people are more than their worst moments. However, the distance between the promise of parole and its reality is vast. Parole processes are a minefield of racial disparities, opaque processes, over-politicization, and little representation or assistance for those hoping to make it to the other side of decades of incarceration. Access to parole is limited in some states and nonexistent in others. Where it exists, the process is so complicated and restrictive that only a fraction of those who apply are granted release. Others apply over and over again only to be denied, often for subjective reasons or for things they cannot change. The result of this flawed system is the same throughout the country: Broken promises and prisons bursting at the seams with people who could be safely released.
To learn more about the need for parole reform in the US, please read:
These 16 principles aim to make parole fairer, more accessible, and more transparent for everyone.
We know that varied political realities mean different reforms are possible in different states. Nevertheless, we hope that the principles we offer in this document will serve as a useful guide for advocates across the country looking to close the distance between the promise of discretionary parole and the reality. The 16 principles are listed below, and are explained in more detail on MacArthur Justice Center’s website.
16 guiding principles for parole reform
Every incarcerated person should have access to parole release systems.
When someone is eligible for parole, there should be an enforceable presumption of release, and parole boards should be required to use forward-looking, objective criteria to justify why release is inappropriate, rather than requiring incarcerated people to justify their fitness for parole.
Parole boards should be required to adhere to consistent, clear guidelines about how to make parole release decisions. People denied parole should have the opportunity to challenge the basis on which their denial decision was made.
Parole should be granted or denied based on forward-looking, objective factors within the control of the incarcerated person, and should focus exclusively on how a person has grown, changed, or been productive since being incarcerated, rather than the underlying crime of conviction.
When a person is denied parole, they should be given specific, actionable changes that they can make to increase their chances of parole in a future hearing. Parole boards should then honor these efforts and grant parole when people have satisfied previously stated requirements.
When a person is denied parole, they should be able to appear before the board again for reconsideration within a reasonable amount of time.
People who are up for parole and their loved ones and supporters should have the ability to attend parole hearings and speak to the parole board on their behalf.
People should have access to counsel at parole hearings and be provided competent, effective, and free counsel that adheres to best practices for indigent defense if they cannot afford it. People should be provided with resources and support to prepare for their parole hearings.
Parole Boards should be diverse in their backgrounds, and should include community-based practitioners trained in psychology and rehabilitation, trauma experts, people who are formerly incarcerated, and other experts with the ability to fairly and objectively evaluate candidates for parole. People with backgrounds in law enforcement and corrections should not be the majority of parole board members.
Parole Boards should be required to release information publicly about their decisions, including grant rates, the reasons for denial of parole, length of setbacks, and demographic and charge information of people who appear before the parole board.
Imposition of conditions, including supervision fees, should be an individualized process that begins with the presumption of no conditions and allows for the removal of conditions that are no longer serving a purpose.
People on supervision should have a variety of options for how to check in that allow for minimal disruptions to the re-entry process.
Supervision should not be indefinite; no person should be on supervision for the rest of their life after parole release.
Parole boards must ensure the due process rights of people facing revocation are protected, including the right to counsel and other safeguards to ensure fair hearings.
People on supervision should not be returned to prison solely for non-criminal conduct.
The amount of time that can be revoked should be capped and proportionate to the seriousness of the violation.
Join the effort
If your organization works on parole reform and would like to sign on to these principles, you can do so through MacArthur Justice Center’s National Parole Transformation Project’s website.
In August of 2020, Demmerick Brown, a man incarcerated in Virginia’s Red Onion State Prison, went to the prison barbershop to get a haircut and a shave. This was the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, and naturally the barber asked Mr. Brown to remove his protective mask so he could shave his face. The next day, Mr. Brown received a disciplinary ticket fining him $15 for failing to wear a mask.
After a perfunctory disciplinary hearing, Mr. Brown had the money deducted from his trust account. Then, he sued, alleging that he had not been afforded appropriate due process before having his money taken. But the District Court found that he wasn’t entitled to due process. The court said that this was because $15 was too small an amount of money to trigger constitutional protections.
What the court failed to understand is that $15, while just being the cost of a sandwich outside prison walls, represents dozens or hundreds of hours of labor inside, and people rely on the money they make behind bars to fill their basic needs and contact their families.
In 2024, the Prison Policy Initiative filed an Amicus Curae brief in a suit filed by Rights Behind Bars, who represent Demmerick Brown. In our brief, we drew on our years of work studying the economics of life behind bars to help the Fourth Circuit understand that $15 inside doesn’t mean the same thing as $15 does on the outside.
On Tuesday, the Fourth Circuit rightfully reaffirmed that incarcerated people deserve due process rights when their money is taken away from them. The opinion cites our brief, concluding that, “Fifteen dollars may be a sum of small consequence outside prison walls, but it is of great significance within them: the amount is more than a week’s worth of wages at Red Onion State Prison where Brown is incarcerated.”
This is one important step in recognizing the lived experiences of people behind bars, and their constitutional rights.
From providing testimony to completing custom research projects, the Prison Policy Initiative is available to help work on projects across all stages of the criminal legal system. Learn more about the work our advocacy department does here, and drop us a line if we can help.
Incarcerated people and their loved ones will continue to be exploited by sheriffs and telecom companies for two more years, while these same interests lobby the FCC to water down its rules.
On Monday, the Federal Communications Commission abruptly announced a two-year postponement of rules reducing prison and jail phone rates that it passed unanimously last year in accordance with the Martha Wright-Reed Fair and Just Communications Act. The FCC’s reversal defies the Act, a bipartisan law that gave the agency a deadline (which it is now blowing past) to implement these regulations.
In a statement, FCC Commissioner Anna M. Gomez blasted the decision, saying the Commission was “shielding a broken system that inflates costs and rewards kickbacks to correctional facilities at the expense of incarcerated individuals and their loved ones.”
Families should not have to face two more years of being squeezed by telecom companies and the prisons and jails they collude with. Unfortunately, this order means that they will do just that. By kicking implementation of its rules down the line, the FCC is capitulating to a system it has already acknowledged is full of bad incentives.
A gift to sheriffs and prison telecom companies
Why is the FCC changing course on an order that all of its members — including Trump-appointed Chairman Brendan Carr — voted for last year?
In large part, the move is a response to a small group of sheriffs who have lashed out in reaction to its 2024 order. Before the order, companies had been able to offer commissions and other kickbacks to agencies they partnered with (which drove up the prices of phone calls for consumers). The 2024 order barred companies from offering almost all kickbacks and commissions. In retaliation, a handful of sheriffs, most notably the sheriff of Baxter County, Arkansas, have said they will no longer offer phone calls at all.
Additionally, before the order, prison telecom companies provided call monitoring services to prisons and jails that were — inappropriately — paid for via the rates charged to consumers. The new rules triggered some companies and sheriffs to claim that they could not provide these services if families didn’t foot the bill. Piggybacking on these claims, several Republican state attorneys general filed a lawsuit against the FCC, arguing that the 2024 order has put police investigations in jeopardy. While the FCC’s 2024 order addressed these concerns, the order yesterday echoes the language in the lawsuit.
What this means for incarcerated people and their families
The 2024 order technically went into effect earlier this year, but it granted prisons and jails with active contracts an extension of up to one year (or to the end of their contracts, whichever came sooner) to implement new rates. That means that while many facilities have already changed their contracts, many have not.
The original rate caps and deadlines set by the FCC’s 2024 order
Facility type
Old phone rate caps (per minute)
New phone rate caps (per minute)
New video rate caps (per minute)
Effective date
Prisons
$0.14
$0.06
$0.16
Jan. 1, 2025
Large jails (1,000+)
$0.16
$0.06
$0.11
Jan. 1, 2025
Medium jails (350-999)
$0.21
$0.07
$0.12
Apr. 1, 2025
Small jails (100-349)
$0.21
$0.09
$0.14
Apr. 1, 2025
Very small jails (0-99)
$0.21
$0.12
$0.25
Apr. 1, 2025
Incarcerated people in facilities that have not yet amended their rates (or that have amended them, but reverse the changes in light of this move by the FCC) will continue to be charged the old rates until April 2027. In the meantime, we expect that sheriffs and the prison telecom industry will lobby aggressively for rollbacks to the 2024 order, meaning that the new rules, when finally implemented, may look very different than what the FCC originally passed.
Justice delayed
The 2024 FCC order was projected to save the loved ones of incarcerated people many millions of dollars every year — cutting the maximum allowed phone rates by approximately half, thus sparing households from debt and from impossible choices between communication and other basic necessities. In postponing its own rules, the agency is delaying economic justice for millions of working-class and low-income families.
This backtracking is also defying Congress. As FCC member Gomez noted, the Martha Wright-Reed Act was “a bipartisan law that ensures prison communications are priced fairly and no longer exploit incarcerated people and their families.” Rather than fulfilling the mandate of this law — the product of decades of advocacy by consumers, advocates, and law enforcement officials — the FCC’s latest move concedes to profit and political interests.
The Prison Policy Initiative strongly opposes this decision. Together with our allies, we will fight to ensure the historic 2024 order is not watered down to protect profits, but implemented as written to protect families.
For some of the thousands of pregnant people entering jails each year, at what might be their moment of greatest need — going into labor — jails turn a blind eye, harming mothers, newborns, and their families. The latest project from our partners at Advocacy and Research on Reproductive Wellness of Incarcerated People, or ARRWIP, illuminates these haunting stories and the dire need for data and education about pregnancy in jails.
In the confines of an unsanitary jail cell, a woman delivers a baby alone: This is a typical news article about a jail birth. But when it comes to the 1.5 million women1cycling through jails each year, what more do experts know about jail births on a larger scale? The answer: Nothing — there is no regular data collection on pregnant or postpartum people held in local jails.2 (As for those in prisons, there is some limited data collection.3)
Given the lack of transparency from jails about pregnancies, birth outcomes, and other facets of reproductive care, a team of student researchers is drawing attention to this data blind spot. The Birth in Jails Media Project, which draws entirely from local news coverage of jail births, provides a rich picture of how some pregnant people experience incarceration, labor, and childbirth, with more detail about jail conditions and staff responses than a national dataset can typically provide.4
In this briefing, we present the first-ever published findings from the Birth in Jails Media Project, one of many indispensable efforts from Advocacy and Research on Reproductive Wellness of Incarcerated People (ARRWIP), a reproductive justice-oriented research group at John Hopkins University led by researcher and obstetrician-gynecologist Dr. Carolyn Sufrin. (We’ve previously lifted up ARRWIP’s important work on contraception, abortion, breastfeeding, and medication for opioid use disorder policies for pregnant women in custody.)
Cases surfaced by the Birth in Jails Media Project suggest pregnant people going into labor behind bars experience great distress and maltreatment, often facing no choice but to give birth without medical assistance, support, or basic safety protocols. While the 35 mothers and newborns included in these cases are likely a small and unrepresentative share of all jail births between 2013 and 2023,5 their stories are powerful calls to action: Pregnant people in jails are in dire need of proper and timely care, and their experiences cannot continue to go undocumented. Lawsuits filed by mothers and advocates, our Media Project partners note, can be credited for moving the needle in some states, but too many stories remain in the shadows.
Because cases involving grave negligence or abuse are more likely to receive news coverage, the Media Project dataset may be skewed toward worse outcomes for pregnant people in jails. But the stories truthfully surface what has happened — and what will likely continue to happen — at some women’s moment of greatest need. Although jails operate independently of one another, the stories reveal systemic ignorance, lacking or nonexistent policies, and patterns of violence that call attention to misconceptions about how and why pregnant people become and remain incarcerated at all.
[The jail’s staff and medical contractors] “engaged in a cycle of punishing and isolating Ms. (unnamed here), while allowing her mental and physical health, and that of her unborn baby, to dangerously deteriorate.” – from a lawsuit filed in Virginia, after a 2021 jail birth resulting in neonatal death
Methodology and project details
To begin, the researchers6 conducted a web search of news articles from 2003 onwards using the keywords “birth in jail.” Based on those web results, the team defined the project’s scope as in-jail births occurring between 2013 and 2023 – the ten full years before the project’s start. After reviewing hundreds of news articles, the research team established a dataset of 261 news articles covering 35 births occurring within jails across 21 states. Births were excluded if they occurred outside of a jail, like at a prison or a hospital. Some news articles referenced additional births happening in the same jails, but if those did not generate their own sufficient news coverage, they were excluded from the dataset.7
Where possible, the researchers noted the specific conditions of delivery: whether the birth was preterm (earlier than 37 weeks) or full term; any known health impacts on the newborn or mother; family separation outcomes; any information related to a lawsuit; any administrative or policy response from the jail; active or pending legislation resulting from the case; responses from community members and advocates; and relevant quotes from anyone involved.
Most births in jails happened inside jail cells, after repeated calls for medical assistance went ignored
Among the 35 jail births identified in the news between 2013 and 2023:
At least two-thirds of births (25) occurred inside jail cells, which often contain nothing more than a mattress, a toilet, and a floor as options for delivery. For context, only about 22% of jails nationwide reported having medical treatment or hospital functions in 2019 (the most recent year these data were collected). At least three births happened inside “isolation” or solitary confinement cells; one woman, about to give birth, was put in solitary “to muffle her screams” because of her agonizing labor pains.
In at least 24 cases, jail staff ignored repeated cries for help or medical assistance. In several instances, pregnant people called out for help or used their cell call buttons to no avail; in some cases, loved ones called the jail to ask that someone check on the mother. And in a few appalling instances, news coverage and lawsuits claim that staff laughed at or belittled the woman in labor, wrongfully assumed she was only experiencing withdrawal symptoms, told her to deal with the pain, or simply watched the delivery, providing no assistance whatsoever.8
One-fourth of babies (9 of 35) were stillborn or died within two weeks of being born. Five others suffered a documented injury or infection. It’s impossible to draw a straight line between these newborn babies’ health and the jails’ conditions, but in a few instances, delivery in a jail cell or into a toilet likely led to various infections of the eyes, blood, and placenta; in other newborns, inhaling water or fecal matter caused respiratory issues.
In at least one-third of births, the baby was born preterm (before 37 weeks of pregnancy). Preterm birth is a leading cause of infant mortality and health conditions that can negatively impact an individual throughout their life. There are many risk factors for preterm birth, including maternal stress, anxiety, substance use, chronic health problems, and certain pregnancy histories. Jails should provide health care that addresses risk factors; the most vulnerable pregnant people, unfortunately, are often forced to rely on jailsfor the chance to access medical care.9
More than half of jail births (19 of 35) led to a lawsuit, some of which were filed against private healthcare companies contracted to provide care inside jails. Many of the lawsuits remain unresolved; one lawsuit was dismissed, and eight ended in settlements reportedly ranging from $16,000 to $1.5 million.
“That pain [of labor] was indescribable. What hurt me more, though, was the fact that nobody cared.” – A mother who gave birth unassisted in a Colorado jail cell in 2018
Jail births led to only minimal changes in jail policy and practice
The Media Project research team found that when a jail’s administration formally responded to a mother’s complaint or lawsuit, they tended to deny wrongdoing, holding firm that correctional and medical staff followed protocol. Disturbingly, some jails admitted that their medical staff had no training on pregnancy or childbirth (thereby absolving them of misconduct). In a few cases, legal action and advocacy to address these horrifying incidents have led to some common-sense changes that should be on the books in every state.10
For example, after one woman gave birth in a Colorado jail cell in 2018 with no medical support, the jail instituted mandatory trainings and updated its policies to ensure that pregnant people in their custody at any stage of labor are immediately taken to the hospital, as part of a settlement agreement. Years later, Colorado lawmakers passed HB23-1187, which allows courts to offer bonds or alternative sentences to pregnant defendants.
A 2020 Florida law, the Tammy Jackson Act, also contains promising care provisions for pregnant people in custody, but has failed to prevent at least two in-jail births — one of which resulted in a newborn’s death — since the law went into effect. Florida advocacy groups have been working for years to advance another bill, “Ava’s Law,” which would allow judges to delay someone’s incarceration by up to 12 weeks to allow for birth or bonding with a child, mandate pregnancy tests for women who are not released after 72 hours, and require relevant data collection, among other provisions.11
“I basically held my baby all night, until she died, until she turned blue” – a mother who gave birth three months early in a Florida jail, whose baby died hours later
The Birth in Jails Media Project highlights an urgent need for documentation and policies focused on jail pregnancy
Now that there are some national-level data from state and federal prisons (collected by the Bureau of Justice Statistics), it is time to ask jails to produce the same information. After all, the outsized growth of women’s incarceration compared to men’s incarceration in recent decades has disproportionately occurred in local jails. Indeed, the Bureau of Justice Statistics concluded in a recent “feasibility study” that it should be possible for jails to report this kind of data. Beyond counts of pregnant people entering jails (and prisons), these statistics should include:
Specific live birth outcomes, such as the location of delivery, preterm, early term, and full term births, instances of low birth weight, and neonatal deaths;
Other occurrences such as cesarean deliveries, miscarriages, abortions, stillbirths, ectopic pregnancies, and maternal deaths;12
The actual provision of maternal healthcare services to people while in jail, such as pregnancy tests, prenatal vitamins, special diets, routine and high-risk prenatal care, and postpartum depression screening;
Linkages to comprehensive demographic, health, and sentencing data.13
Data collection aside, some basic education on maternal health could support improving outcomes for pregnant women currently cycling through jails. In the instance where a pregnant person is incarcerated, correctional officers and frontline correctional health staff must be trained on how to recognize labor signs and other urgent maternal warning signs to facilitate appropriate and timely care. Along with training and education, jail staff must, importantly, believe, document, and respond to pregnant women’s reporting of their labor and other concerning pregnancy symptoms.
Ultimately, improved access to reproductive healthcare, expanded data, and fundamental training may help avoid distressing births behind jail walls, but our partners at ARRWIP insist that locking up pregnant people endangers maternal and newborn health and perpetuates structural inequities. Deeper reforms at the sentencing level, such as caregiver mitigation or diversion laws, combined with desperately-needed care standards and oversight,14 would be more effective in moving pregnant women and mothers out of jails to community-based supports and to their families.
Footnotes
We acknowledge that people of many different gender identities can become pregnant. Unfortunately, the data published by many sources we use are only broken out by administrative, binary sex variables: male and female. The gender identities of pregnant people in the ARRWIP study of jail pregnancy are also based on surveys administered to jails. The inclusion of people outside the gender binary depends on the specific policies and practices of the jurisdiction. ↩
In 2020, the Advocacy and Research on Reproductive Wellness of Incarcerated People (ARRWIP), a research team led by Dr. Carolyn Sufrin, published the most recent estimate of pregnant people admitted to jails each year as part of the Pregnancy in Prison Statistics Project, or PIPS. From a survey of six jails, including five of the largest jails in the U.S., they estimated that there are 55,000 annual admissions of pregnant people to jails each year, which is about 3% of female jail admissions. This 3% figure is slightly more than the 2% of women who were pregnant entering state prison, but more importantly, represents tens of thousands more women compared to state prison admissions. To our knowledge, this study is also the only large-scale study of pregnancy outcomes in jails. ↩
In April 2025, the Bureau of Justice Statistics published Maternal Healthcare and Pregnancy Prevalence and Outcomes in Prisons, 2023, which is based on data collected for the first time in 2024. This dataset includes the prevalence of pregnancy among people in state and federal prisons, pregnancy outcomes, and some limited data on the types of services, medical care, and support offered to incarcerated pregnant people. ↩
Unlike most Prison Policy Initiative publications, which are centered around a dataset and analysis that we make available for further study, this briefing does not include a data appendix, nor will it link to news articles or directly identify those in the dataset. The Birth in Jails Media Project aims to draw attention to this matter while honoring individual stories and highlighting the urgency for aggregate, de-identified data. A dataset with links to the articles is available upon reasonable request by contacting arrwip@jhmi.edu. ↩
The total number is unknown; for some context, 35 jail births nationally over ten years — or just under 4 births per year — is a very small proportion of pregnancies which end during a jail stay. In their study of 6 jails, Dr. Carolyn Sufrin et al. found that 224 pregnancies out of 1,622 admissions of pregnant people ended in custody, whether in a live birth, miscarriage, stillbirth, induced abortion, or ectopic pregnancy. In their dataset, two births (of 144 live births) happened inside the jail. ↩
The Birth in Jails Media Project was conducted by members of ARRWIP’s student research team. It was led by doctoral student Bianca Schindeler with support from Dr. Carolyn Sufrin, ARRWIP’s research program manager Camille Kramer, Ava Chan, Devanshi Trivedi, and Sonia Hamilton, M.D. ↩
Two additional cases fell on the border of inclusion criteria and therefore were excluded from main results; however, case details were still fully reviewed and documented, with one referenced later in the report. These included one birth in a U.S territory, and one birth that occurred in transport from jail to hospital. ↩
One woman described informing the judge during her court hearing that she was experiencing painful contractions and needed to go to the emergency room, but the judge sent her back to jail where she did not receive medical care, was ignored by jail staff, and birthed alone in her cell several months before her due date. In another egregious case — which ultimately did not meet the research criteria — correctional officers were transporting a jailed pregnant woman to the hospital, but stopped for coffee en route. Both cases reportedly led to the newborns’ death. ↩
While most people may not dream of giving birth in a jail cell, the painful reality for some pregnant people is more complicated: When poverty, substance use, racial discrimination, and violence coalesce, jail may represent a safety net — a guarantee of at least some prenatal care, as Dr. Carolyn Sufrin notes in her 2017 book, Jailcare. ↩
In 2024, a legislative working group in Virginia published recommendations for the treatment of incarcerated pregnant women with substance use disorders; their report includes a list of states which have laws regarding screening, treatment, sentencing, diversion, and staff training, but the impacted population is limited to pregnant women with a known substance use disorder. ↩
In May 2025, SB 206 (or “Ava’s Law,” in memory of the baby who died hours after being born in a Florida jail cell) was withdrawn from consideration, after being introduced at least twice before in the Florida legislature. ↩
Surveys of jails and prisons led by Dr. Carolyn Sufrin and ARRWIP, as core works of the Pregnancy in Prison Statistics Project, use many of these metrics, suggesting the feasibility of collecting such data nationally. Unfortunately, their surveys were only conducted once, covering twelve months between 2016 and 2017. ↩
Hopefully, the Bureau of Justice Statistics’ upcoming and long-awaited Survey of Inmates in Local Jails includes at least as much pertinent information as it did during the last survey over 20 years ago, in 2002 (which asked people in jails about pregnancy, obstetric exams, and prenatal care). ↩
According to Dr. Carolyn Sufrin, the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (ACOG) has published recommendations for pregnancy care in custody, and accreditation programs exist for correctional facilities to show some effort to provide such care. However, these programs are voluntary, and the lack of uniform standards leads to problematic variability from jail to jail. ↩
The health burdens of jail expansion are heaviest in places that already lock a lot of people up. Those places also would see the largest benefits from decarceration, including fewer deaths each year.
A new cohort study by a group of scholars at the U.S. Census Bureau, the Hennepin Healthcare Research Institute, and the medical school at Mount Sinai published in the medical research journal,JAMA Network Open adds to the evidence and has important local policy implications. This study, led by Dr. Utsha Khatri, found that people incarcerated on a given day in 2008 had a 39% higher risk of death compared to similar people who were not incarcerated, and their risk of overdose death was 208% higher. Additionally, the paper suggests that expanding the use or size of local jails is associated with more deaths county-wide. These nationally-representative findings build upon previous research linking incarceration and mortality.
What makes this paper particularly useful for policymakers and advocates is its effort to measure the impacts of both individual experiences of incarceration and county jail incarceration rates. County jail rates measure how much a given county relies on jailing as a response to issues of health and safety.1 How counties use their jails varies widely across the United States; the jail incarceration rate in Nashville is over five times the rate in Minneapolis, to cite just one example.2 This new study drew county-level jail rates from the Vera Institute’s Incarceration Trends Project dataset and leveraged local variation to better understand how jails impact death rates, breaking out overdose deaths for special attention. One caveat worth noting on the individual-level impacts: because millions of people flow through local jails each year, the findings in the study may understate the harms of incarceration.3
Methodology
The paper pulls from the Mortality Disparities in American Communities study. This dataset linkage effort connects restricted records from the Census with data from the National Death Registry. Khatri et al.’s sample is 3.2 million people who responded to the American Community Survey in 2008, including 45,000 people who were incarcerated at the time they were surveyed. Everyone was tracked through the end of 2019 to see if they survived.
The survival analysis research design compares people who were incarcerated with similar people who were not incarcerated, nesting everyone within similar counties. At the individual level, the authors adjusted for age, sex, race and ethnicity, employment, marital status, household income, and educational attainment. The county-level measures included jail incarceration rates, the percentage of the county who reported being Black or African American, average household size, population density, and poverty rate. Because this is not an experimental or quasi-experimental research design, the observed associations are not causal claims. In other words, the authors don’t attempt to show higher jail rates or the experience of incarceration as the cause of the increase in deaths they observed; they simply show the strength of the relationship between those variables.
Limitations
The United States does not track everyone who has been incarcerated in a centralized database that social or medical researchers can access. Lacking that, the single-day measurement of incarceration based on a single day in 2008 creates some issues: this leads to error that would likely cause the authors to under-estimate the harmful impact of incarceration on health. Some of the people that are in the “non-incarcerated” control group at the time of the survey would have been formerly incarcerated, and others would become incarcerated later, between the time of the survey and the end of the study period in 2019. Thus, these measures would probably underestimate the statistical association between incarceration and increased mortality. Because jail stays are typically quite short (often days or weeks, with an average stay of 32 days), we know a far larger number of people are impacted by incarceration each year than are counted on a single day. Nonetheless, this study provides evidence that is consistent with other research that more jailing causes health harms even to people who were not locked up.
Health harms of incarceration affect everyone, making jail expansion versus decarceration a matter of life and death
This study found that people incarcerated on a single day in 2008 had a 39% higher risk of death — and a 208% higher risk of death by overdose — compared to similar people who were not incarcerated. These results are from models that adjust for individual- and county-level factors, and it’s worth noting that having been incarcerated had a much stronger impact on risk of death than other measures linked to death rates like income, education, or indigeneity (that is, whether one identifies as American Indian or Alaska Native). Similarly, the estimated impact of incarceration on overdose mortality was higher than many other individual-level risk factors.
The elevated risk of death from overdose after incarceration is well documented: criminalization of addiction causes a lot of harm. But other research has shown that incarceration is associated with a wide range of health issues, which may help explain the increased risk of death from any cause. People are entering and exiting the toxic prison and jail environment all the time, either upon their arrest and release or as staff clock in and clock out. Other studies have found links between incarceration and health outcomes ranging from:
This study by Khatri et al. also found county-level jail incarceration was associated with an increase in deaths generally. The researchers estimate that a local jail incarceration rate 10% higher than the national county average leads to a 0.45% increased risk of death across the board. While this is much smaller than the 39% higher risk for people that were incarcerated, it applies to all people. The authors do the math and it works out to an additional 4.6 people dying for every 100,000 people in the population a year. This relationship is linear: for each 10% increment over the average, a county experiences another 4.6 additional deaths per 100,000 people, so a county with a jail rate 20% higher than average could expect 9.2 additional deaths per 100,000 and so on. Because large increases in jailing are common after new jail construction, and many counties have sustained lower jail rates after COVID-related changes in 2020, it’s worth applying this finding to larger numbers and the associated annual numbers of deaths.
Comparing two suburbs can illuminate the relationship between jail rates and county deaths: Contra Costa County, in the San Francisco Bay Area, reduced its jail population by 25% between 2019 and 2024. In contrast, Baldwin County, Ala. (between Mobile and Pensacola) is opening a new jail this summer that will expand capacity by 50%. The study from Khatri et al. suggests Contra Costa’s 25% jail population reduction (on top of an already relatively low incarceration rate) could translate to an average of 52 fewer county residents dying each year as a result of the harms from the jail. For perspective, Contra Costa averaged 47 homicides a year over the last decade, so this would be a meaningful change. Conversely, if the number of people in the Baldwin County jail increases by 50% to fill up the new facility, this study suggests an additional 57 deaths in the county each year. Given there were only 20 murders in the county in 2023, this would be quite a concerning increase.
For people who live in counties considering steps to reduce criminalization, pretrial detention, and overall jail capacity, this research provides clear evidence of the harms of incarceration. Jail construction is expensive and tends to crowd out public investment in other needs like community-based healthcare. Criminalization of addiction doesn’t address problematic substance use, and better community-based treatment options are needed. Moreover, some studies suggest jail construction leads to even more criminalization rather than deterring crime. Decarceration is one of the best tools to combat early deaths caused by this dynamic between criminalization, incarceration, and austerity — what geographer Ruth Wilson Gilmore terms “organized state abandonment.” By comparing the number of deaths due to the harms of incarceration to the numbers of murders reported, we can get a sense of the scale of this abandonment. Communities across the United States don’t have to tolerate these burdens of incarceration. Instead, as this new paper suggests, working to reduce jailing could help improve community health.
Footnotes
In addition, some counties also use their local jails like private prisons, providing space to incarcerate people on contracts with the state prisons, federal agencies like ICE, or other counties in exchange for payments to cover their operating costs. ↩
Nashville, Tennessee’s surrounding county, Davidson, had 299 people in jail per 100,000 in spring 2024. Minneapolis, Minnesota’s county, Hennepin, had 58 people in jail per 100,000 residents in spring 2024. The 2024 data is sourced from Vera’s Incarceration Trends Project, an older version of which was used by Khatri et al. in their study. ↩
For more on this, see the discussion of limitations in the methodology below. ↩
July 1, 2026: On July 1, 2026 at 1 p.m. EST, join the Prison Policy Initiative and guests Jodi Hocking, Executive Director of Return Strong Nevada, and Taj Mahon-Haft PhD, Director of The Humanization Project, as they discuss the importance of family connections, highlight the ways they are under attack, and share strategies to help families fight back.
July 9, 2026: Join the Prison Policy Initiative, Latino Justice, and the MacArthur Justice Center for a powerful webinar focused on the parole board process and the case for the presumption of release. It will begin with a firsthand account from Frank Silva and his interview for freedom followed by Clinical Professor of Law Heidi Rummel and the legality of “presumption of release,” and how California’s framework has shifted the
burden of proof.